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Weather forecast

Weather forecast for the next 24 hours

Southerly 15-23 m/s with rain or sleet, strongest in the west part. Southwesterly 10-18 in the afternoon and showers of rain or sleet, but mostly dry in the northeast. Temperature 2 to 10 deg. C, but light frost and showers of snow tonight.
South and southwesterly 8-15 tomorrow afternoon and rain in the south and west parts, but mostly dry in East-Iceland. Increasing winds and precipitation tomorrow night and becoming warmer.

Forecast made 28.02.2025 04:30

Forecaster's remarks

Southerly gale or strong gale in the south and west. See yellow warnings.
Prepared by the meteorologist on duty 28.02.2025 04:30

Precipitation Temperature Wind

Forecast for station - 1

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Whole country

News

Increased likelihood of an eruption on the Sundhnúkur crater row - 21.2.2025

Updated 25. February at 12:10 UTC

Deformation measurements indicate continued land uplift, although it has slowed slightly in recent weeks. Updated model calculations suggest that magma accumulation has exceeded the amount that was present before the eruption that began on November 20. The likelihood of the next event occurring within the coming days or weeks remains elevated.

Seismic activity in the area has been gradually increasing since January.

The hazard assessment has been updated with no changes and remains in effect until March 4, barring any changes in the situation.

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Red weather warnings in effect today – no travel recommended - 5.2.2025

A southerly storm or violent storm is expected later today and tomorrow, with very strong wind gusts, widely 35 – 45 m/s and especially near mountains, but locally exceeding 50 m/s. Considerable or heavy rain is expected in the south and the west regions of the country. More details can be found here.

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The weather in Iceland in 2024 - 5.2.2025

The year 2024 was remarkably cold compared to temperatures of this century. The national average temperature was 0.8 degrees below the 1991 to 2020 mean, and it was the coldest year since 1998. Lowest relative temperature was inland in the North, while it was warmer along the southern coast. The summer was wet across the entire country, but other months of the year were relatively dry. Overall, the year was drier than average in the eastern, southern, and southwestern parts of the country, but wetter than average in the North and West, which experienced heavy rain during summer. The sea level pressure was unusually low from June through August, and the summer was characterized by frequent low-pressure system passage and unfavourable weather. During other seasons, the weather was relatively calm, and annual mean seal level pressure and wind speed were around average.

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New weather forecast website launched - 3.2.2025

The first phase of the Icelandic Meteorological Office's (IMO) new website was launched today. This marks the beginning of a major project aimed at renewing both the website and its entire technical infrastructure.

The new weather forecast website is available at https://gottvedur.is/en/. While the site is still in development, once the renewal of the current website is complete, the new weather pages will be moved to the domain vedur.is.

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Earthquakes continue to be recorded at great depths near Grjótárvatn - 17.1.2025

Updated 17. January 14:00 UTC

Seismic activity continues to increase near Grjótárvatn. So far in January, nearly 100 earthquakes above M1.0 have been recorded. This is comparable to the total number of earthquakes in December 2024, which was the highest monthly count ever recorded in the area.

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Strong earthquake swarm in Bárðarbunga. Largest earthquake magnitude 5.1 - 14.1.2025

A strong earthquake swarm began shortly after 6:00 UTC today in the northwestern part of the Bárðarbunga caldera. Approximately 130 earthquakes have been recorded since the swarm began, with the largest reaching magnitude 5.1 at 8:05 UTC.


Additionally, 17 other earthquakes with a magnitude of 3 or higher were detected, including at least two measuring magnitude 4 or above. These estimates may change as analysis of the events is ongoing.

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Short articles

HARMONIE - numerical weather prediction model 

HARMONIE is a numerical weather prediction model (NWP) that is non-hydrostatic and convection-permitting. It is operated at 2.5 km horizontal resolution over a domain that covers Iceland and the surrounding seas. At this resolution it is possible to simulate explicitly some processes that are important for clouds and precipitation as well as meteorological phenomena related to up- and downdrafts. In order to simulate the interaction between the atmosphere and the surface, the model takes into account different types of land surface as well as processes in and at the surface.

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