Climate Modelling and Scenarios

Note
Lkelihood of rockfall and surface movements in the Westfjords, West and South Iceland. More
Orange alert for weather: Westfjords, Northwest Iceland and Northeast Iceland More
Yellow alert for weather: Breidafjordur - Westnorthwest Iceland, East Iceland, Eastfjords and Central highlands - Uninhabited part of Iceland More

New regional climate simulations will be conducted using the advanced regional climate models RCA and HIRHAM. The section will cover the period until 2050. Probability analysis will provide both decadal ranges and probabilities of climate variability and change in the Nordic region until 2050. The link between regional climate scenarios and the recent/ongoing climate behavior will be analysed. Customized regional climate scenarios for risk analysis will be developed.

For further information, contact
Erik Kjellström, erik.kjellstrom@smhi.se